Undecided Voters Hold the Key as Labour Lead Holds at 29,000
Vincent Marmarà's second campaign survey shows Labour frozen at 53.1% and PN slipping to 42.6%, while 36,000 undecided votes remain in play.
Sliema News
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Image source: The Malta Independent
6% after statistical adjustments — a gap of between 9% and 12%, averaging roughly 29,000 votes in Labour's favour at an assumed turnout of 81%. The poll was published on Saturday 9 May and is the second in statistician Vincent Marmarà's 2026 campaign cycle. The survey was carried out via mobile and telephone interviews among approximately 1,200 respondents.
6%. 3% and other parties at 2%. 6%.
ADPD and smaller parties have each edged up marginally. Direct vote movement between the two major parties is negligible, with gains and losses on both sides effectively cancelling each other out. 9% remain undecided — roughly 36,000 votes at projected turnout, with less than a month to election day.
0%. 6% were undecided. The party-loyalty cross-tabs help explain why headline numbers have shifted so little.
3% prefer Abela as prime minister and only 2% opted for Borg. 9% prefer Borg, with just 3% favouring Abela. Both leaders are holding their bases with minimal leakage in either direction.